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Tesla Burns Cash to Build AI Business, Betting on Robotaxi and Robots Q2 Profits Fall Short of Expectations

Capital market23 Jul 2026 14:29 GMT+7

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Tesla Burns Cash to Build AI Business, Betting on Robotaxi and Robots Q2 Profits Fall Short of Expectations

A deep dive into the situation of Tesla, the global electric vehicle giant, which recently released its Q2 financial results. The announcement drew significant investor attention because despite revenue growth, profits declined more than market expectations.

Amid a major acceleration in investments—viewed by many as "burning cash"—Tesla is betting on the future with AI, the versatile humanoid Optimus robot, and autonomous Robotaxi services, which currently are not profitable but represent a new strategic direction set by Elon Musk.


Revenue exceeds targets but profits plunge significantly.

According to CNBC, Tesla reported total revenue of $28.2 billion in Q2, up 26% compared to the same period last year, surpassing market expectations of $25.7 billion.

This growth was mainly driven by sales of the Model Y and Model 3 electric vehicles, which saw price reductions that boosted deliveries to 480,000 units, a 25% increase year-over-year.

Additionally, Tesla's energy and services businesses performed well, with energy revenue rising 13% and services revenue increasing by 50%.

However, profits were disappointing. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) stood at only $0.33, down 18% year-over-year and significantly below the $0.51 forecast by analysts at the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG).

Gross margin declined to 16.8% from 17.2% last year, below the expected 19.4%, due to lower average selling prices (ASP) and reduced income from regulatory credits.

Most concerning in this financial report was the heavy cash burn, with operating expenses soaring 47% to $4.35 billion, causing operating margin to plunge to just 1.4% from 4.1% the previous year.

Free cash flow turned negative, at minus $1.1 billion, as capital expenditures (Capex) surged 142% to $5.79 billion, driven by long-term investments in AI compute infrastructure, semiconductor factories, solar energy, and battery businesses.

Market reacts negatively.

Although Tesla's Q2 revenue beat analyst expectations, the lower-than-expected profits combined with sharply higher expenses and Capex led to negative investor sentiment, with Tesla's shares falling about 4% in after-hours trading.

Despite this short-term pullback, Tesla's stock remains positive over the long term, with the following performance:

  • 1-week return: -4.36%
  • 1-month return: -1.99%
  • 6-month return: -16.71%
  • 1-year return: +12.46%
  • 5-year return: +74.40%

From a long-term investor perspective, the market is not only focused on vehicle sales but is closely watching when the massive investments in AI, Robotaxi, and Optimus will start to generate returns.

A pivotal shift from car sales to AI and robotics company.

Another key point attracting attention alongside the financial results is Tesla's transformation from an electric car manufacturer into an AI, robotics, and autonomous driving systems company.

Chief Financial Officer Vaibhav Taneja revealed that Tesla plans to continue heavy investments, expecting Capex this year to exceed $25 billion, with operating expenses rising further into 2026 and beyond due to infrastructure investments in AI, semiconductor factories, energy businesses, and new product development.

Elon Musk stated that although these investments pressure short-term profits, they represent a crucial bet to create new long-term businesses such as Robotaxi, Cybercab, the Optimus robot, and AI technology, which he sees as defining Tesla's future.

Tesla also plans to begin producing the Cybercab, a two-seat autonomous vehicle, and is upgrading its California factory to support production. Meanwhile, subscribers to the Full Self-Driving (FSD) system increased 56% to 1.48 million, indicating that software is becoming an increasingly important business alongside vehicles.

Furthermore, Musk revealed internal collaboration within his company group: Grok, the AI model from xAI, will play a greater role in Tesla vehicles, Cybercab will support connectivity via the Starlink network, and future plans include developing AI to act as a "manager" overseeing Optimus robot operations.



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