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Trump Changes U.S. AI Policy, Letting Big Tech Self-Regulate Watch for Rising Costs and Investment Shift to Infrastructure

Tech companies30 Sep 2026 13:11 GMT+7

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Trump Changes U.S. AI Policy, Letting Big Tech Self-Regulate Watch for Rising Costs and Investment Shift to Infrastructure

The Super Intelligence Luncheon held at the White House on 29 Sep 2026, gathering the U.S. president and top technology and AI executives worldwide, marked a pivotal moment for the AI industry. Beyond assembling major players, it established a new framework for AI governance and technology direction that could impact future industry investment.

Over 30 business and government leaders attended, including Jeff Bezos, Amazon founder; Satya Nadella, Microsoft CEO; Lisa Su, AMD CEO; Hock Tan, Broadcom CEO; Sanjay Mehrotra, Micron CEO; Nikesh Arora, Palo Alto Networks CEO; Bill McDermott, ServiceNow CEO; and Shyam Sankar, Palantir CTO.

Also present were executives from Meta, Nvidia, Google, Anthropic; Greg Brockman, OpenAI president; Elon Musk; and other tech leaders. Government attendees included U.S. Vice President JD Vance, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and senior officials in science, cybersecurity, and national security.

Following the meeting, Trump announced a new approach called “Self-Regulation.” This approach lets companies oversee their own technologies instead of imposing federal AI legislation. Six companies—Google, Meta, Nvidia, Anthropic, OpenAI, and xAI—voluntarily signed an agreement titled “Joint Commitment on Frontier Responsibilities.”

Under this agreement, the companies pledged to establish “robust internal processes and controls” to ensure their technologies function as intended and to quickly detect and resolve arising issues.

The agreement requires AI firms to implement strict internal controls, conduct safety and capability assessments during model development and deployment, maintain internal audit teams, appoint independent external evaluators or auditors, and establish independent board-level oversight committees.

Although the agreement is not legally binding and does not constitute immediate AI regulation—since it remains voluntary—investors must now monitor the additional costs and procedures arising from this self-governance.

If AI companies must increase model testing, cybersecurity measures, external audits, and internal governance, development and launch costs for new AI models could rise accordingly.

For firms competing to develop Frontier AI, which requires massive capital, personnel, and data center resources, safety-related expenses become a crucial factor investors must weigh alongside anticipated AI revenues.

AI stocks may not be uniformly affected across the sector.

The new rules will likely impact companies developing Frontier AI models most directly, as they bear responsibility for safety testing, model control, and system audits.

Meanwhile, AI infrastructure firms producing chips, networking equipment, memory, data centers, and power systems may experience indirect effects. While governance may increase development costs for some AI segments, demand for computing resources is unlikely to diminish, especially if U.S. companies and government continue expanding AI and data center infrastructure despite local opposition.

Thus, the key investment impact may not be capital outflow from AI, but rather a reallocation within the ecosystem.

If AI model development faces tighter oversight, some investment may shift toward businesses supporting AI, such as:

  • AI Infrastructure: GPUs, AI chips, memory, networking, and data centers.
  • AI Security: Cybersecurity, model monitoring, and AI auditing systems.
  • AI Governance: Tools for audit and compliance.
  • Enterprise AI: AI with clear use cases and measurable business returns.
  • Energy Infrastructure: Electrical and power systems supporting data centers.

Ed Mills, a policy analyst at Raymond James, noted that AI stocks have risen recently without adequately reflecting regulatory risks. However, he cautioned that stricter AI oversight may force investors to reassess valuations of AI models and developers, especially if new rules slow technology progress or delay returns on investment.

This is critical for tech stocks, as many prices already embed expectations for future AI revenue and profits. If revenue timelines extend, valuations may be recalculated. Previously, Nasdaq experienced declines amid AI regulatory concerns, though multiple factors influenced those movements.

On another front, Morgan Stanley anticipates AI regulation could slow AI development speed and create bottlenecks in AI infrastructure—especially data centers and energy supply—but does not expect immediate reductions in compute demand.

Similarly, JPMorgan Asset Management expects that if safety concerns slow model development, investment focus may shift from training large models to inference or practical application, potentially changing which stocks attract market interest next.

The most important factor for the market to watch is AI’s return on investment.

This move occurs amid massive AI investments by major tech firms, including building data centers, purchasing chips, and developing AI models.

Hence, increased regulation may intensify investment questions about when returns will materialize. If companies can monetize AI as planned, safety and governance costs may become standard business expenses.

However, if capital expenditures grow faster than AI revenues for an extended period, market concerns could shift from AI safety to AI economics—whether the vast infrastructure investments will yield sufficient returns.

Another market issue to monitor is barriers to entry. If future AI development must pass costly safety checks, large firms with capital, data centers, and research teams may absorb these costs more easily than startups or smaller companies.

Investors should observe whether forthcoming regulations impose equitable burdens across companies of all sizes or disproportionately affect smaller firms.


Trump ordered renaming AI as “Super Intelligence.”

Simultaneously, an executive order mandated U.S. government agencies to use the term “Super Intelligence” or “SI” instead of Artificial Intelligence or AI in official documents, communications, websites, reports, and policy materials.

The rationale was that the term Artificial implies something “unreal,” whereas Trump believes the technology’s capabilities have advanced beyond mimicking human intelligence, entering a new era of “Super Intelligence.”

This terminology shift signals more than a semantic change; it reflects the administration’s view of AI as a strategic technology the U.S. must rapidly develop and lead, especially amid competition with China.

Combined with encouraging AI companies to self-regulate and supporting data center expansion, the overall direction indicates Trump’s intent to accelerate AI development while assigning safety responsibility to the private sector instead of direct government regulation.

However, the effectiveness of this self-regulation framework remains to be seen, especially as some AI executives express concern about the pace of technological progress.




Source information Financial Times , BBC , Politico , Business Insider

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