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NIDA Poll Finds Many Believe Election Fraud Occurred but Doubt Election Commission Will Punish Offenders

Politic15 Feb 2026 11:17 GMT+7

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NIDA Poll Finds Many Believe Election Fraud Occurred but Doubt Election Commission Will Punish Offenders

A NIDA poll conducted after the 2026 election found that most respondents reported no fraud in their own districts and expressed moderate satisfaction with the Election Commission's (EC) performance. Meanwhile, those who indicated fraud had occurred did not believe the EC would be able to punish the offenders.

On 15 February 2026, the NIDA Poll Center at the National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA) released results from a survey titled "Can the Election Commission Punish Electoral Fraud Offenders?" The survey was conducted from 11-12 February 2026, sampling 1,310 citizens aged 18 and over with voting rights, distributed across all regions, education levels, occupations, and income groups nationwide. The survey focused on the EC's performance in punishing those who committed electoral fraud.

When the public was asked about electoral fraud in their own electoral districts, as of 8 February 2026, it was found that

  • 40.08% stated there was definitely no fraud,
  • 23.51% were unsure whether fraud had occurred,
  • 19.54% said fraud might have occurred,
  • and 16.87% stated there was definitely fraud.

Among respondents who stated that there was definitely or possibly electoral fraud in their districts as of 8 February 2026 (a total of 477 respondents), regarding the ability of the Election Commission to punish those who committed election fraud, it was found that

  • 58.28% said the EC would not be able to punish anyone,
  • 28.93% said the EC might punish some offenders in certain cases,
  • 11.32% said the EC would definitely be able to punish offenders,
  • and 1.47% gave no response or were indifferent.

Finally, when asked about public satisfaction with the Election Commission's work in managing elections, in their own electoral districts, as of 8 February 2026, it was found that

  • 38.55% were somewhat satisfied,
  • 22.29% were very satisfied,
  • 20.84% were somewhat dissatisfied,
  • 17.63% were completely dissatisfied,
  • and 0.69% gave no response or were indifferent.