NIDA Poll Sees Interior Ministry Facing Toughest Challenge in No-Confidence Debate Expects No Change Post-Session

The NIDA poll views the no-confidence debate as putting the Ministry of Interior under the toughest pressure, expecting the opposition to have clear, concrete evidence. It is believed the Kla Party will vote to support all 18 ministers, with no changes expected after the debate, followed by a possible cabinet reshuffle.

On 18 October 2026, the Public Opinion Survey Center "NIDA Poll" The National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA) revealed the results of a survey titled "Who Faces the Toughest Challenge in the No-Confidence Debate?" conducted from 12-14 October 2026 among 1,310 citizens aged 18 and over, representing all regions, education levels, occupations, and incomes nationwide.

When asked for public opinion on the issues in the no-confidence debate against individual ministers that would cause the government to be most stressed, it was found that

• 34.27% said allegations of inability to solve economic problems,
• 28.93% said all issues would be stressful,
• 26.26% cited the Senate election rigging case,
• 25.88% mentioned allegations of failure to manage the cost of living crisis,
• 23.97% pointed to allegations of corrupt behavior,
• 22.44% referred to the local government civil service exam corruption case,
• 16.72% said allegations of abusing power for personal and factional gain,
• 14.43% cited allegations of neglecting to address gray capital schemes,
• 7.56% mentioned allegations related to the blue regime,
• 5.34% said there are no stressful issues,
• 3.59% referred to the TH-AI Passport project case,
• 3.44% noted allegations of lack of good governance in administration,
• 1.60% said allegations of undermining independent agencies and checks and balances.

Regarding public opinion on which ministries would face the toughest challenges in the no-confidence debate against individual ministers, it was found that

• 38.78% named the Ministry of Interior,
• 23.05% said all ministries would face tough challenges,
• 21.37% said the Prime Minister's Office (Deputy Prime Minister and/or Minister attached to the Prime Minister's Office),
• 18.63% said the Ministry of Commerce,
• 16.26% said the Ministry of Finance,
• 10.46% said the Ministry of Justice,
• 9.08% said the Ministry of Digital Economy and Society,
• 4.73% said no ministry would face tough challenges,
• 4.43% said the Ministry of Defence,
• 3.97% said the Ministry of Transport,
• 3.82% said the Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment,
• 0.92% said the Ministry of Tourism and Sports,
• 0.15% said don't know/no answer.

Meanwhile, public opinion on the clarity and concreteness of evidence the opposition would use in the no-confidence debate against individual ministers, showed that

• 45.65% believed the opposition would have clear, concrete evidence against all 18 ministers,
• 41.22% said the opposition would have clear, concrete evidence against some ministers,
• 11.76% said the opposition would have no clear, concrete evidence against all 18 ministers,
• 1.37% said don't know/no answer.

Regarding public opinion on the Kla Party MPs' voting decisions during the no-confidence debate against individual ministers, it was found that

• 30.38% expected them to vote to support all 18 ministers,
• 22.75% expected abstentions,
• 18.32% expected them to support some ministers,
• 9.93% expected them not to participate in voting,
• 8.24% expected them to vote against all 18 ministers,
• 6.11% expected votes against some ministers,
• 4.27% did not answer or were indifferent.

When asked for public opinion on the situation likely to occur with the government after the no-confidence debate against individual ministers, it was found that

• 40.84% said nothing would change,
• 26.34% said there would be a cabinet reshuffle,
• 19.39% said the House of Representatives would be dissolved for a new election,
• 9.69% said there would be a change of government coalition,
• 3.28% said some ministers would resign,
• 0.46% said don't know/no answer.