Top favorite surprises: "Supercomputer" predicts the latest favorite to win the UCL after the first-leg semifinal results.
On 30 April 2026 GMT+7, Opta, a leading football statistics expert, revealed the latest predictions for the favorite to win the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League after the completion of both first-leg semifinal matches as follows.
PSG 5-4 Bayern Munich.
(Second leg on 6 May 2026 GMT+7).
Atletico Madrid 1-1 Arsenal.
(Second leg on 5 May 2026 GMT+7).
It turns out that Opta's supercomputer still ranks Arsenal as the top favorite to win the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League. Despite just drawing away at Atletico Madrid, the "Gunners" remain the only unbeaten team this season (10 wins, 3 draws).
Meanwhile, the "defending champions" PSG have moved up to second favorite after a thrilling win over Bayern Munich, with their percentage only slightly behind Arsenal. Bayern has dropped to third, and Atletico Madrid remains fourth, as expected, since they face the "Gunners" away in the second leg.
1st favorite: Arsenal 34.90%.
2nd favorite: PSG 32.25%.
3rd favorite: Bayern Munich 22.67%.
4th favorite: Atletico Madrid 10.18%.