One more team eliminated: Latest UEFA Champions League title favorites after Round 4 of the league phase show two closely matched teams.
On 6 Nov 2026 GMT+7, Opta, a leading football statistics expert, released the latest predictions from a supercomputer on which team is most likely to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League after the completion of Round 4 in the league phase.
1. Paris Saint-Germain, 12 points
2. Real Madrid, 12 points
3. Arsenal, 10 points
4. Como, 9 points
5. Barcelona, 9 points
6. Aston Villa, 9 points
7. Manchester City, 9 points
8. Liverpool, 9 points
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13. Bayern Munich, 8 points
15. Inter Milan, 6 points
17. Manchester United, 6 points
It appears Arsenal remains the top favorite, narrowly beating Slavia Prague 2-1 away, followed by second favorite Bayern Munich who recently defeated Atlético Madrid 2-0 on the road.
Meanwhile, Manchester City, ranked third favorite, has a similar chance of winning the UEFA Champions League as defending champions Paris Saint-Germain, who remain fourth favorite. Liverpool fell to seventh favorite after losing 2-3 to Fenerbahçe, while Real Madrid moved up to sixth favorite after a narrow win over AEK Athens.
1st Favorite: Arsenal 22.08%
2nd Favorite: Bayern Munich 17.77%
3rd Favorite: Manchester City 11.07%
4th Favorite: Paris Saint-Germain 11.03%
5th Favorite: Barcelona 9.73%
6th Favorite: Real Madrid 8.86%
7th Favorite: Liverpool 4.32%
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15th Favorite: Manchester United 0.63%