Three teams are out of contention as the "supercomputer" predicts the favorite to win the 2025-26 Premier League after the latest matchday.
On 5 March 2026 GMT+7, Opta, the football statistics expert, revealed the latest prediction from its supercomputer on which team has the highest chance of winning the 2025-26 English Premier League season after the most recent midweek matches.
1. Arsenal (30 matches) 67 points
2. Manchester City (29 matches) 60 points
3. Manchester United (29 matches) 51 points (goal difference +11)
4. Aston Villa (29 matches) 51 points (+5)
5. Chelsea (29 matches) 45 points (+19)
6. Liverpool (29 matches) 48 points (+9)
The Opta supercomputer predicts Arsenal as the clear favorite to clinch the Premier League title, with their chances rising above 90 percent after a narrow 1-0 away win over Brighton.
Meanwhile, Manchester City remains the second favorite, but their odds have dropped sharply below 10 percent after a 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest, now trailing Arsenal by 7 points despite having one game in hand.
Aston Villa (lost 1-4 to Chelsea), Manchester United (lost 1-2 to Newcastle), and Liverpool (lost 1-2 to Wolverhampton) have all been ruled out of the Premier League title race, with the supercomputer calculating their chances at 0.00 percent.
1st: Arsenal 93.60% (previously 83.26%)
2nd: Manchester City 6.40% (previously 16.62%)
3rd: Aston Villa 0.00% (previously 0.08%)
4th: Manchester United 0.00% (previously 0.02%)
5th: Liverpool 0.00% (previously 0.02%)