Updated: 'Supercomputer' predicts the latest Premier League title favorite after last night's results.
On 11 May 2026, Opta, the football statistics expert, revealed the latest prediction from their supercomputer on which team is most likely to win the 2025-26 English Premier League title after Week 36 matches.
Last night’s results saw league leaders Arsenal narrowly beat West Ham United 1-0 away, while second-placed Manchester City defeated Brentford 3-0 on Saturday. This kept the gap unchanged at 5 points, though fewer matches remain.
1. Arsenal (36 games) 79 points (68 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference +42)
2. Manchester City (35 games) 74 points (72 scored, 32 conceded, goal difference +40)
Opta's supercomputer predicts Arsenal still firmly hold the number one spot to win the Premier League, with their winning probability nearly 75 percentage points higher than Manchester City's.
Favorite 1: Arsenal 87.20% (previously 85.24%)
Favorite 2: Manchester City 12.80% (previously 14.76%)
