Many top teams have been eliminated as the "Supercomputer" predicts the latest favorites for the UCL title after the group stage.
On 29 January 2026 GMT+7, Opta, a leading football statistics expert, released its latest prediction for the favorite to win the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League after all 36 teams completed 8 group stage matches.
The UEFA Champions League group stage standings have confirmed 8 teams that automatically qualify for the last 16 as follows.
1. Arsenal - 24 points
2. Bayern Munich - 21 points
3. Liverpool - 18 points
4. Tottenham Hotspur - 17 points
5. Barcelona - 16 points
6. Chelsea - 16 points
7. Sporting Lisbon - 16 points
8. Manchester City - 16 points
Opta's supercomputer still ranks Arsenal as the number one favorite to win the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League, after becoming the only team in history to win all 8 group stage matches with the best offensive and defensive records (23 goals scored, 4 conceded).
The Premier League has four teams among the top six favorites this season: Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, and Chelsea.
Meanwhile, defending champions PSG fell to seventh place after drawing 1-1 with Newcastle United, finishing 11th in the group stage and having to play in the playoff round.
Real Madrid, the record 16-time champions, dropped to eighth favorite after failing to automatically qualify for the last 16, losing 2-4 to Benfica and finishing ninth in the group stage.
1st favorite: Arsenal 28.30%
2nd favorite: Bayern Munich 15.96%
3rd favorite: Manchester City 10.00%
4th favorite: Barcelona 8.83%
5th favorite: Liverpool 7.44%
6th favorite: Chelsea 6.39%
7th favorite: PSG 6.18%
8th favorite: Real Madrid 3.21%