Top favorite surprises: "Supercomputer" predicts UCL 2025-26 champion after final four teams and semifinal schedule are set.
On 16 Apr 2026 GMT+7, Opta, a leading football statistics expert, revealed its latest prediction for the favorite to win the UEFA Champions League 2025-26 after the quarterfinals concluded with the four semifinalists confirmed as follows.
PSG vs Bayern Munich
(First leg 28 Apr 2026 / Second leg 6 May 2026)
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal
(First leg 29 Apr 2026 / Second leg 5 May 2026)
The Opta supercomputer still names Arsenal as the top favorite to win the UEFA Champions League 2025-26 despite their recent 0-0 draw with Sporting Lisbon, advancing on a 1-0 aggregate from the first leg of the quarterfinals. Arsenal remains the only team unbeaten this season.
Meanwhile, Bayern Munich holds the second favorite spot after defeating Real Madrid—15-time European champions—in both legs (2-1 and 4-3). However, they face the defending champions PSG, ranked third favorite after winning both home and away against Liverpool. Atletico Madrid is placed fourth, as expected, despite their victory over Barcelona.
1st Favorite: Arsenal 38.58%
2nd Favorite: Bayern Munich 33.34%
3rd Favorite: PSG 19.10%
4th Favorite: Atletico Madrid 8.98%
