How likely are the four teams to reach the UEFA Champions League final in the 2025-26 season?
On 30 Apr 2026 GMT+7, we examine the chances of the final four teams—Arsenal, Atlético Madrid, Bayern Munich, and Paris Saint-Germain—to advance to the UEFA Champions League final for the 2025-26 season.
Starting with the first matchup, Arsenal, the well-known Premier League club led by Spanish coach Mikel Arteta, has an 82% chance of reaching the final. Meanwhile, Atlético Madrid, a strong La Liga club managed by Argentine coach Diego Simeone, has only an 18% chance.
In the other matchup, Bayern Munich, a Bundesliga powerhouse from Germany under Belgian manager Vincent Kompany, has a 43% chance of advancing to the final. Paris Saint-Germain, the Ligue 1 giant from France coached by Spaniard Luis Enrique, holds a 57% chance.