Examining the chances of Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal to determine which team has a better shot at winning the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League.
On 7 May 2026, we look at the prospects of Paris Saint-Germain (PSG), the Ligue 1 powerhouse led by Spanish manager Luis Enrique, and Arsenal, the Premier League giant managed by fellow Spaniard Mikel Arteta, to see which team is more likely to claim the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League title.
According to Google, Paris Saint-Germain, last season's champions, have a 43% chance of winning the title within 90 minutes of regulation time. Meanwhile, Arsenal holds a 30% chance of victory and claiming the championship. The probability of a draw, which would lead to extra time, stands at 27%.
The 2025-26 UEFA Champions League final between defending champions Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal is scheduled for Saturday, 30 May 2026, kicking off at 23:00 Thailand time. The match will take place at Puskás Aréna in Budapest, Hungary, which has a seating capacity exceeding 67,000.
Notably, Paris Saint-Germain seeks to defend their title after winning the trophy for the first time last season, while Arsenal reaches the final for the first time in 20 years, their previous appearance being in 2006. The opening ceremony will feature a performance by international band The Killers. This event marks the first time Hungary has been selected to host the final of Europe's premier club competition.