Spain or Argentina emerge as favorites to win the 2026 World Cup after the two finalists have been confirmed.
On 16 July 2026, Opta, a leading football statistics expert, released its latest prediction using a supercomputer to assess which nation has the highest chance of winning the 2026 World Cup, now that the final two teams have been decided.
Sunday night, 19 July 2026 (early Monday morning, 20 July 2026 GMT+7)
02:00 Spain vs. Argentina
Spain, former one-time world champions, are the top favorites to win the 2026 World Cup after an excellent performance, including a convincing 2-0 victory over France—previously the top favorite—and conceding only one goal across seven matches, with six clean sheets.
Meanwhile, the "defending champions" Argentina rank second after narrowly surviving every knockout round (extra time win over Cape Verde 3-2 in round of 32; a comeback 3-2 win against Egypt in round of 16; extra time victory 3-1 over 10-man Switzerland in quarter-finals; and a stoppage-time 2-1 comeback win against England in the semi-finals).
Top favorite: Spain 56.05%
Second favorite: Argentina 43.95%